November 28, 2008


From DJ Mca ll @ao l.com:

Re: “Extreme” rain follows global warming (Aug. 7): Does your editor live in a cave or on a desert island? Global warming is so passe’ Global temperatures have declined to where they are now at 1970 level.

The new scare is the coming ice age, but obviously you haven’t heard! There is the confluence of the 10,000 year interglacial period, the 200 year Schwabe cycle, the 30 to 40 year PDO and ADO cycles and the 11 year solar cycle are all coming into their cool periods.

We are 11,000 years into an interglacial which averages 10,000 years. Glaciations can occur quickly. A 12 C drop can happen in 20 years. If the cooling in 2007, faster than typical, continues, the temperature could be 14 C cooler by 2027.

A NASA and a Western Washington University scientist independently predict 30 years of cooling. By 2020, the sun will be starting into its weakest Schwabe cycle of the past two centuries. Cooling could signal the beginning of a Maunder Minimum, an event that occurs every couple of centuries and can last as long as a century. During the bitter cold period from 1650 to 1715, frigid winters and cold summers led to massive crop failures, famine and death in Northern Europe.

Warming and cooling trends over the past four centuries show an almost exact correlation between climate fluctuations and solar energy, while showing almost no correlation with CO2. A study of several centuries’ data shows global temperatures closely track 11 year solar cycles. If the current cycle remains quiet for another year or two, we could experience massive snowfall and severe weather.

Comparisons of historic global climate warming and cooling over the past century with Pacific Decadal Oscillations (PDO) and Atlantic decadal Oscillations (ADO) oscillations, glacial fluctuations, and sun spot activity show strong correlations. Switch of PDO cool mode to warm mode in 1977 initiated several decades of global warming. The PDO has now switched from its warm mode (where it had been since 1977) into its cool mode.

There is the confluence of the 10,000 year interglacial period, the 200 year Schwabe cycle, the 30 to 40 year PDO and ADO cycles and the 11 year solar cycle all coming into their cool periods.

31,072 have signed a petition declaring AGW as non-existent. Only 2000 (after 400 withdrew their name) scientists’ names were affixed to the 2001 IPCC declaration on GW.

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